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inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491765
Inflation persistence has been put forward as one of the potential reasons of divergence among euro area members. It … NMS went through, are applied. We emphasize that a time-varying mean models suggest similar or lower inflation persistence … due to frequent breaks in inflation time series in the NMS. Structural persistence measures show that backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790207
The long-run relation between growth and inflation has not yet been studied in the context of nominal price and wage … integrate staggered price- and wage-setting into an endogenous growth framework. In this setting, growth and inflation are … linked via the incentive to innovate. For standard calibrations, the linkage is strong: as trend inflation shifts from -5 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580023
to match past inflation. However, the present paper proposes a much larger effect by using the job finding rate as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010379902
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and … estimated with eight new readings obtained since 2004. The rate of CPI inflation is predicted with RMSFE=1.5% per year. For the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075493
This paper examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins with a definition of …-information" models, learning models, and so-called "trend inflation models," providing some new results throughout …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153236
I investigate the causes of the high inflation Argentina experienced from 2007 to 2015. To do so, I estimate the … obtained for other economies in the region were inflation was kept under control. I find that there are some country specific … patterns in Argentina that can explain the high inflation observed during the analyzed years. First of all, Argentinean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835593
Is inflation persistence in the new EU Member States (NMS) comparable to that in the euro area countries? We argue that … show that due to frequent breaks in inflation time series in the NMS, parametric statistical measures assuming a constant …-varying mean leads to the reversal of this result and suggests similar or lower inflation persistence for the NMS compared to euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767014