In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …

We apply classical econometric method to characterize the dynamic behavior of the quarter-on-quarter inflation over the … inflation series and as well as for the consumer price inflation at representative product groups level, taking into account the … influence of structural breaks in the mean of inflation on the level of persistence. We find strong evidence for a break in the …

This paper conducts a structural analysis of inflation persistence in the United Kingdom between 1965-2009. I allow for … and stochastic shock volatility. The first policy regime responds passively to movements in inflation, adjusting the … other regime responds actively to inflation and places less weight on exchange rate movements. This regime is present for …

This paper investigates the relationship between the level of inflation and regional price-level convergence utilizing … micro-level price data from Turkey during two clearly distinguishable periods of high and low inflation. The results … indicate that higher persistence and slower convergence of price levels are evident during the low-inflation period, which …