Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been … almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume … expectations are rational This paper shows that while empirical household expectations are not rational in the usual sense …

This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast … forecasts. It turns out that the availability of historical data has a dominant impact on expectations and wipes out the …

, under an event-study framework the respond of upside risks of inflation expectations to the approval of the Income Law is …

This paper documents that individuals' expectations about macroeconomic outcomes are systematically linked with the … experiences of these macroeconomic outcomes they have made during life. Focusing on expectations about national inflation … variables over the respondents' lifetime, respectively. I find that experience significantly predicts respondents' expectations …

. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses to survey questions on inflation expectations (Binder, 2017). This … inflation expectations. …

We investigate the role played by the media in the expectations formation process of households. Using a novel news … of households' stated inflation expectations. In turn, in a noisy information model setting, augmented with a simple …, robust and new evidence highlighting the role of the media for understanding inflation expectations and information …

This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market … Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even …

This paper investigates the effects of inflation news coverage on market-based inflation expectations and outcomes in … regarding specific topics, exerts a significant influence on inflation compensation, expectations, and risk premiums. We observe … contributes to the understanding of media influence on financial markets, specifically in shaping inflation expectations. …

short-time window to test the impact of deteriorating expectations and uncertainty on firms' R&D choices. Our results show a … dramatic effect of firms' expectations about future market conditions. In this regard, internationalized and innovative … discontinuing research plans. Beyond the role played by expectations, innovative characteristics already in place are found to …

inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct … identification of these biases. Both inflation and deflationary biases are present (and sizable) in inflation expectations of these …