Showing 1 - 10 of 2,744
This paper investigates evidence of a Fisher effect in Nigeria by employing quarterly CPI inflation and Nominal … interest rates data. For a more robust result we conducted integration and cointegration tests in order to examine time …-series properties of the variables. Using Co-integration and Kalman filter methodologies, the study did not find evidence of a full …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477662
-97 for three countries with recent histories of chronic high inflation: Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. A co-integration … to the anticipated changes in the rate of inflation. The analysis is carried out with monthly data for the period 1980 … analysis has provided evidence of a stable long-run equilibrium relationship between nominal interest rates and the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073885
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418318
We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do … so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual … expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching in the mean and variance of the fiscal deficit probability density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165948
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110892
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605275
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271965
We use parametric power ARCH models of the conditional variance of inflation to model the relationship between … inflation and its uncertainty using monthly data for Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden over a period ranging from 1962 to 2004 ….For all three countries inflation significantly raises inflation uncertainty as predicted by Friedman. Increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274364
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003880398