find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … useful information. By contrast, incorporating expectations derived from financial market prices or those of firms and …

find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … useful information. By contrast, incorporating expectations derived from financial market prices or those of firms and …

This paper investigates the changing behavior of inflation expectations in response to the macroeconomic and policy … present evidence on the behavioral shifts in the inflation expectations associated with evolving macroeconomic and policy … performance. We use a unique survey with the feature of including matched policy rate and fixed-horizon inflation expectations at …

We investigate the role played by the media in the expectations formation process of households. Using a novel news … of households' stated inflation expectations. In turn, in a noisy information model setting, augmented with a simple …, robust and new evidence highlighting the role of the media for understanding inflation expectations and information …

This paper studies the forecasting ability of various Phillips curve specifications in a pseudo out-of-sample exercise … was under the inflation targeting regime or not. Univariate forecasting models perform well for the fixed exchange rate …

contribute to anchoring of expectations about nominal variables; its effects on disagreement about real variables are moderate. …

contribute to anchoring of expectations about nominal variables; its effects on disagreement about real variables are moderate. …

results of the model's forecasting performance suggest that this model can be a useful analytical tool in the process of … to MAKPAM and enriches the set of tools for forecasting and monetary policy analysis in NBRM. In this paper we highlight …