Showing 1 - 10 of 3,826
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003880398
This paper studies an (S, s) pricing model from the perspective of inflation and price competition in search markets. I … technologies are more efficient, price inflation is counter-intuitively, more likely to increase monopoly power of firms and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055141
This paper discusses four potential sources of lag dynamics in inflation: non-rational behavior, staggered contracting …, frictions on price adjustment, and shifts in the long-run inflation anchor of agent expectations (the perceived inflation target …). Expressions for inflation dynamics from structural models which admit these different sources of lag dynamics are contrasted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074476
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011986398
This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664348
The proposition that inflation expectations can be extracted as inflation predictions from the government bond yield … of inflation. Examining the sub-periods separated by the adoption, in 2000, of inflation targeting, we find that the … monetary policy regime shift strengthened the relationship between the yield spread and future inflation. The results suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873970
The paper examines the factors of global inflation acceleration in 2021-2022. We consider primarily the developed … economies, where rates of inflation over the last two years have exceeded multi-year highs and have significantly exceeded … target levels. We find that the cause of accelerating inflation was an imbalance between aggregate demand, which started to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394329
five years, where the euro area has, following a period of low inflation, navigated a global pandemic, Russia's invasion of … Ukraine and an unprecedented surge in inflation. The survey has evolved over time and provides not only a long time series of …. We show that, for each of the three main macroeconomic variables forecast - HICP inflation, real GDP growth and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015156735
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310