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During a distinguished career, Basil Moore has made numerous important contributions to macroeconomics and monetary economics, and is renowned as the progenitor of the "horizontalist" analysis of endogenous money. More recently, he has embraced complexity theory as part of an ongoing effort to...
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'... the volume constitutes an important collection, which portrays the evolution of the Phillips Curve and the potency of policy debates in a single canvas in an elegant and comprehensive manner. The gaps that seem to have remained may be remedied by the editors in the form of a companion...
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Motivated by economic-theory concepts - the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure - we consider a small set of simple bivariate closed-loop time-series models for the prediction of price inflation and of long- and short-term interest rates. The set includes vector...
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Multi-step-ahead forecasts of forecast uncertainty in practice are often based on the horizon-specific sample means of recent squared forecast errors, where the number of available past forecast errors decreases one-to-one with the forecast horizon. In this paper, the efficiency gains from the...
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