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We estimate the Smets and Wouters (2007) model augmented with the Gertler and Karadi (2011) financial intermediation sector on US data by using real and financial observables. Given the framework of the estimated model, we address the question whether and how standard monetary policy should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506778
This paper attempts at characterising South Korean monetary policy in the period of explicit inflation targeting started in 1999. We explain Korean interest rates in relation to an estimated macro-model, assuming that monetary policy is set optimally. This allows us to obtain the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605050
This paper empirically analyzes the key drivers of inflation in Kazakhstan by differentiating between demand and supply-driven factors contributing to headline inflation. Given that Kazakhstan is highly sensitive to adverse external fluctuations (due to its economic structure), our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015410482
The post-pandemic inflation surge underscores that monetary policy continues to be hampered by two long-standing challenges: the pretence of knowledge and the proclivity for discretion. Focusing on the Federal Reserve, this paper demonstrates how simple policy rules, designed to be robust under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015454980
The paper examines the factors of global inflation acceleration in 2021-2022. We consider primarily the developed economies, where rates of inflation over the last two years have exceeded multi-year highs and have significantly exceeded target levels. We find that the cause of accelerating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394329
Central banks, whether independent or not, may occasionally be subject to external pressures to change policy objectives. We analyze the optimal response of central banks to such pressures and the resulting macroeconomic consequences. We consider several alternative scenarios regarding policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722750
Central banks, whether independent or not, may occasionally be subject to external pressures to change policy objectives. We analyze the optimal response of central banks to such pressures and the resulting macroeconomic consequences. We consider several alternative scenarios regarding policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723474
In this paper we derive optimal monetary targeting rules under various assumptions about fiscal behavior. In contrast to the existing literature we use a linear-quadratic approach and allow for dynamic games between the two policy authorities. It is shown that optimal monetary behavior is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726512
Monetary policy transmission lags create credibility problems for the inflation-targeting policy maker who acts under discretion. We show that if prices react to monetary policy with a longer lag than output, the welfare maximizing inflation-targeting policy implies no policy stabilization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729353
This study proposes an extension to the inflation targeting framework for Poland that takes into consideration the exchange rate stability constraints imposed by the obligatory participation in the ERM2 on the path to the euro. The modified policy framework is based on targeting the differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733785