Our purpose is to show how large difference of beliefs induced by fear of crashesis amenable to large and persistent price responses to contemporaneous shocks. Weconstruct a pure exchange economy populated by two agents who estimate strictlydifferent models regarding the fundamental. In...

We use a user-cost model to study how dispersed information among housing marketparticipants a¤ects the equilibrium house price. In the model, agents are disparatelyinformed about local economic conditions, consume housing services, and speculate onprice changes. Information dispersion leads...

[...]This paper aims to ascertain the quality (that is, thepredictive power and prediction errors) of two marketindicators: the distance to default and the subordinated debtspread. Previous work has established that banks’ marketprices reflect contemporaneous information about bank riskin the...

This paper makes three contributions to our understanding of the price discovery process in currencymarkets. First, it provides evidence that this process cannot be the familiar one based on adverse selectionand customer spreads, since such spreads are inversely related to a trade’s likely...

This study shows that order flow in a foreign exchange market only has permanent price impact if itcomes from certain regions. These regions are – as predicted by the local information hypothesis –centers of political and financial decision making. It is revealing that orders from other...