We examine the mechanism through which a financial crisis affects the default risk of real economy firms. We find that firms with strong dependence on bank financing suffer from higher increases in default risk than firms with no such dependence. Conversely, firms that rely solely on financing...

This empirical examination of the effect of rollover risk on default risk uses a database of U.S. industrial firms during 1986-2011. This article represents the most comprehensive empirical study to date to support the existence of a rollover risk effect on default risk. This paper investigates...

We study the effect of rollover risk on the risk of default using a comprehensive database of U.S. industrial firms during 1986–2013 This article is the most thoroughgoing empirical research to date to support the existence of a rollover risk effect on the risk of default. A one standard...

We hypothesize and find empirical evidence that two structural constraints of the industry are informative in the corporate failure prediction, industry concentration and dependence on customers and suppliers. Using an extensive database on corporate failures and bankruptcies in U.S. market from...

Many firms choose to refinance their debt. We investigate the long run effects of this extended practice on credit ratings and credit spreads. We find that debt refinancing generates systematic rating downgrades unless a minimum firm value growth is observed. Deviations from this growth path...

We examine the mechanism through which a financial crisis affects the default risk of real economy firms. Specifically, firms with strong dependence on bank financing suffer higher increases in default risk than firms with no such dependence. Conversely, firms relying solely on financing from...