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This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373349
Since the Eurozone Crisis of 2010-12, a critical debate on the viability of a currency union has focused on the role of a fiscal union in adjusting for country heterogeneity. However, a fully-fledged fiscal union may not be politically feasible. This paper develops a two-country general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246925
The world has become more interconnected over the past few decades. Against this backdrop, economic and financial … develop a measure of global systemic risk and use bank stress testing techniques to quantify the systemic impact of the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491953
The aim is to show how and when government insolvency implies a fixed exchange rate regime crisis. To model these issues I try to unify a stylized macroeconomic model with a standard micro agent behavior toward asset pricing. The equilibrium condition between demand and supply of public debt,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007557
emerging-market leverage, there is little systematic research on factors that impact corporate distress risk in emerging … markets. Existing bankruptcy risk models developed using US data have low predictive power when applied to emerging market … economy monetary policy changes, US dollar movements, or shifts in global liquidity and risk-aversion. A novel multi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920536
Countries with intermediate levels of institutional quality suffer larger output contractions following sudden stops of capital inflows than less developed nations. However, countries with strong institutions seldom experience significant falls in output after capital flow reversals. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138449
We consider bankruptcy announcements of large financial institutions in the US and examine their impact on an international sample of 66 stock market indices. Employing an event-study methodology, we find that stock markets exhibit strong adverse reaction in the aftermath of such announcements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851388
We document the negative effect of stock liquidity on default risk for a sample of 46 countries. We further find that … default risk declines following the introduction of the Directive on Markets in Financial Instruments (MiFID)—an exogenous … shock that increases liquidity. The effect of liquidity on default risk is more pronounced in countries with poorer investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854783
, whilst removing credit risk transmission, systematically increase default risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087656
Central to the ongoing debate on default resource adequacy are the incentives provided by the clearinghouse waterfall structure. We show that clearinghouse equity and member default funds play a complementary role to initial margins: they incentivize safe members to participate rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961402