We examine what determines CDS prices over 2005-2012. To do this, we calibrate Merton's model in a novel way that allows for deviations from lognormality. The model works well in cross-section and time-series, both within and out-of sample. It confirms that systematic equity volatility is the...

We propose an explanation for default contagion based on a Lucas model with two independent debt-financed trees. The transmission mechanism is that variations in the size of one tree impact the level of risk premium and the default decision for all borrowers. If a negative shock hits one tree,...

The purpose of this study is to investigate the reaction of the insolvency rate to the various shocks in the economies of Romania and Spain through a Structural Vector Autoregressive model. Departing from quarterly data for 2008-2016, it was found that the future values of the insolvency rate...

We study optimal time-consistent distortionary taxation when the repayment of government debt is not enforceable. The government taxes labor income or issues noncontingent debt in order to finance an exogenous stream of stochastic government expenditures. The government can repudiate its debt...