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We propose an alternative approach to the modeling of the positive dependence between the probability of default and the loss given default in a portfolio of exposures, using a bivariate urn process. The model combines the power of Bayesian nonparametrics and statistical learning, allowing for...
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This paper presents a systematic framework for capturing the collateral-driven mortgage default risk. A forward … numerical simulation, we demonstrate that a geographically-diversified mortgage pool entails a substantially lower level of … systematic collateral driven mortgage default risk compared to a spatially-concentrated pool. However, the expected default risk …
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