Aiming to study pricing of long-dated commodity derivatives, this paper presents a class of models within the Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) framework for commodity futures prices that incorporates stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate and allows a correlation structure between...

Does modelling stochastic interest rates, beyond stochastic volatility, improve pricing performanceon long-dated commodity derivatives? To answer this question, we consider futuresprice models for commodity derivatives that allow for stochastic volatility and stochastic interestrates and a...

Interest rate benchmarks are currently undergoing a major transition. The LIBOR benchmark is planned to be discontinued by the end of 2021 and 'replaced' by what ISDA calls an adjusted risk-free rate (RFR). ISDA has recently announced that the LIBOR 'replacement' will most likely be constructed...

In this paper we outline the European interest rate swaption pricing formula from first principles using the Martingale Representation Theorem and the annuity measure. This leads to an expression that allows us to apply the generalized Black-Scholes result. We show that a swaption pricing...

This paper estimates the term-structure of volatility risk premia for the stock market. Realized variance term premia are increasing in systematic risk and predict variance swap returns. Implied volatility term premia are decreasing in risk initially, but then increase at a lag, predicting VIX...

In current financial markets negative interest rates have become rather persistent, while in theory it is often common practice to discard such rates as incredible and irrelevant. However, from a risk management perspective, it is crucially important to financial institutions to properly account...

This paper attempts to explain the credit default swap (CDS) premium by using a novel approach to identify the volatility and jump risks of individual firms from a unique dataset of high-frequency CDS spreads. I find that the volatility risk alone predicts 55% of the variation in CDS spread...

The shape of the VIX term structure conveys information about the price of variance risk rather than expected changes in the VIX, a rejection of the expectations hypothesis. A single principal component, Slope, summarizes nearly all this information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500...

We estimate the term structure of the price of variance risk (PVR), which helps distinguish between competing asset-pricing theories. First, we measure the PVR as proportional to the Sharpe ratio of short-term holding returns of delta-neutral index straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a...

The market model of interest rates specifies simple forward or Libor rates as lognormally distributed, their stochastic dynamics has a linear volatility function. In this paper, the model is extended to quadratic volatility functions which are the product of a quadratic polynomial and a...