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Long-term bond yields contain a risk-premium, an important part of which is compensation for inflation risks. The substantial increase in the Fed funds rate in the mid-2000s did not raise long-term US Treasury yields due to the reduction in the term premium (so-called Greenspan conundrum) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584286
This paper examines the properties of interest rate rules aimed at controlling aggregate price inflation. Policies are compared in two models having either flexible or sticky inflation The latter is assumed to derive from a traditional, adaptive-expectations augmented Phillips curve. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404057
For a sample of sixteen OECD countries over the period 1980-2007 we show that, for given debt-GDP ratio, an increase in … the maturity of the public debt by one year lowers its long-term interest rate by around 20-30 basis points. This effect … is stronger for countries with higher average inflation or debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189835
We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower … accommodative monetary policy and deficit spending—generate a debt-financed short-run boom at the expense of indebted demand in the … future. When demand is sufficiently indebted, the economy gets stuck in a debt-driven liquidity trap, or debt trap. Escaping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199991
This paper analyses changes in short-term interest rate expectations and uncertainty during ECB Governing Council days. For this purpose, it first extends the estimation of risk-neutral probability density functions up to tick frequency. In particular, the non-parametric estimator of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380949
interest on the national debt is set in private credit markets – in fact are not applicable to governments issuing their own …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115419
This paper analyses changes in short-term interest rate expectations and uncertainty during ECB Governing Council days. For this purpose, it first extends the estimation of risk-neutral probability density functions up to tick frequency. In particular, the non-parametric estimator of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119936
This paper estimates neutral real interest rate (NRIR) ranges for 10 Latin American countries that either have full-fledged inflation targeting regimes in place or have recently adopted them, using an array of methodologies commonly used in the literature. We find that NRIRs have declined in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099302
This paper estimates neutral real interest rate (NRIR) ranges for 10 Latin American countries that either have full-fledged inflation targeting regimes in place or have recently adopted them, using an array of methodologies commonly used in the literature. We find that NRIRs have declined in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083629
can be more stimulative than a debt-financed fiscal expansion of equal magnitude. However, the extra stimulus requires … money financing avoids the adverse wealth effects associated with higher taxes under debt financing. Because the stimulative … effects of money financing are driven by its implications for interest rates, a combination of debt financing and sufficiently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159954