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We examine the economic consequences of an interest-bearing design of the Central-Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), and extend the discussion to an open-economy context with trade and capital flows. We use a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to simulate a baseline scenario with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833531
This paper studies the impact effect of monetary policy shocks - identified by the reaction of three month market interest rates to policy announcements - on the exchange rate in Australia, Canada, and New Zealand during the 1990s. The main results are that (i) on average, a 100 basis point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317851
A sticky price monetary model (Frankel, 1979) of exchange rates is applied to quarterly data on seven currencies: The Indonesian rupiah, Korean won, Malaysian ringgit, Philippine peso, Singapore dollar, Taiwanese dollar and the Thai baht. The model proves empirically unsuccessful, except in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071868
Using a data-driven approach to identify structural vector autoregressive models, we examine key factors influencing the US dollar exchange rate across eight advanced economies from 1980 to 2022. We find that shocks to inflation expectations, which are closely tied to unfunded government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015123453
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167220
This paper compares the link between exchange rates and interest rates under full information and two alternative asymmetric information approaches. It also distinguishes between cases of expansionary and contractionary depreciations. Full information results are not robust to the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317653
The link between exchange rates and interest rates features prominently in the theoretical and empirical literature on small open economies. This paper revisits this relationship using a simple model that incorporates the role of exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices and distinguishes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318193
Central banks with an exchange rate objective set the interest rate in response to what they call "pressure." Instead, existing interest rate rules rely on the exchange rate minus its target. To stay closer to actual policy, we introduce a rule that uses exchange market pressure (EMP), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479735
This paper analyses the welfare performance of a set of five alternative interest rate rules in an open economy stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model with nominal rigidities. A rule with a lagged interest rate term, high feedback on inflation and low feedback on output is found to yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223558
In 1991, the rate of inflation in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland was between 35% and 70%. At the end of 2001, it is below 8%. We setup a small structural macro model of these economies to explain the process of disinflation. Contrary to a widespread skepticism, which permeated a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120553