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Empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that the predictability of inflation at long horizons varies … systematic monetary policy succeeds in stabilizing the incipient unit root in inflation. The mechanism by which it does this … that monetary policy need not be so vigorous in reactions to inflation. This helps to explain why inflation rates in the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208831
The implementation of economic reforms under new economic policies in India was associated with a paradigmatic shift in … the consequences of such policy measures in India, particularly during the period of the global recession. Not only did … India, this paper concludes that such monetarist policy measures have been responsible for stagnation, with a rise in price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010385761
We study how changes in the value of the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target, both in …-for-one: increases in the optimal inflation rate are generally lower than declines in the steady state real interest rate. Our approach … allows us not only to assess the uncertainty surrounding the optimal inflation target, but also to determine the latter while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923602
permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price level if a central bank anchors long-run inflation expectations. In line …-run price level target rather than a long-run inflation target avoids these permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340556
This paper investigates how and to what extent nonlinearity, including the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate, affects the estimates of the natural rate of interest in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with sticky prices and wages. We find that the estimated natural rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956545
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639895
the inflation rate, the deviation in real GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the deviation in money supply, the deviation in … weight to the deviation in unemployment rate, and moderate weights are assigned to the deviation in the inflation rate, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316675
The paper presents the welfare cost of inflation in a banking time economy that models exchange credit through a bank … welfare cost of a 10% inflation rate instead of zero, for comparison to other estimates, as well as the cost of a 2% inflation … rate instead of a zero inflation rate. The zero rate is specified as the US inflation rate target in the 1978 Employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012509
short some 20 million jobs. Further, there is no reason to believe that the current exceptionally low inflation rates are … transitory. Quite the contrary: without significant fiscal efforts to restore the bargaining power of labor, inflation rates are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546686
population growth has lowered both the natural rate and inflation by about 0.4 percentage points in recent decades. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980508