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There are several widely used benchmark models of the long-term interest rate in quantitative finance. However, these models have yet to incorporate Keynes's valuable insights about interest rate dynamics. The Keynesian approach to interest rate dynamics can be readily incorporated in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548206
This paper presents multifactor Keynesian models of the long-term interest rate. In recent years there have been a proliferation of empirical studies based on the Keynesian approach to interest rate modeling. However, standard multifactor models of the long-term interest rate in quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219478
There are several widely used benchmark models of the long-term interest rate in quantitative finance. However, these models have yet to incorporate Keynes’s valuable insights about interest rate dynamics. The Keynesian approach to interest rate dynamics can be readily incorporated in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223547
Using panel data models, we analyze the flypaper effects-whether intergovernmental fiscal transfers or states' own income determine expenditure commitments - on ecological fiscal spending in India. The econometric results show that the unconditional fiscal transfers, rather than the states' own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012596963
John Maynard Keynes (1930) asserted that the central bank sways the long-term interest rate through the influence of its policy rate on the short-term interest rate. Recent empirical research shows that Keynes's conjecture holds for long-term Treasury yields in the United States. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383200
This paper relates Keynes's discussions of money, the state theory of money, financial markets, investors' expectations … empirical studies not only vindicate the Keynesian perspective but also have relevance for macroeconomic theory and policy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317613
We test the neoclassical loanable funds model which postulates that, ceteris paribus, government borrowing increases the long-term rate of interest. The empirical literature exploring such a connection remains largely mixed. We clarify the conflicting results by deploying an ARDL model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260824
This paper econometrically models the dynamics of the Chilean interbank swap yields based on macroeconomic factors. It examines whether the month-over-month change in the short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on the long-term swap yield after controlling for other factors, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013254272
This paper empirically models the dynamics of Brazilian government bond (BGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data in the context of the evolution of Brazil's key macroeconomic variables. The results show that the current short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on BGBs' long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222455
This paper analyzes the nominal yields of UK gilt-edged securities ("gilts") based on a Keynesian perspective, which holds that the short-term interest rate is the primary driver of the long-term interest rate. Quarterly data are used to model gilts' nominal yields. These models bring to light...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291941