We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower aggregate demand, and thus natural interest rates. At the core of the theory is the simple yet under-appreciated observation that borrowers and savers differ in their marginal...

This paper incorporates a bubble term in the standard FTPL equation to explain why countries with persistently negative primary surpluses can have a positively valued currency and low inflation. It also provides an example with closed-form solutions in which idiosyncratic risk on capital...

On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...

Over the last few decades, real interest rates have trended downward in many countries. The most common explanation is that this reflects depressed demand due to demographic, technological and other real factors such as income inequality. In this paper we explore the claim that these trends may...

This paper studies the distinct roles of expansionary rate-based monetary policy and quantitative easing, in spite of their concurrent implementation around the world. We exploit the introduction of negative monetary-policy rates in a fragmented euro area alongside cross-sectional heterogeneity...

We study the interaction of expansionary rate-based monetary policy and quantitative easing, despite their concurrent implementation, by exploiting heterogeneous banks and the introduction of negative monetary-policy rates in a fragmented euro area. Quantitative easing increases credit supply...

I design a debt relief experiment that randomizes forbearance term and interest rates independently in a 2-by-2-by-2 design for delinquent borrowers. Forbearance take-up prevents one in three defaults in the first month with no long-run effects beyond expiration. Before expiration forbearance...

Financial wealth inequality and long-term real interest rates track each other closely over the post-war period. Faced with unanticipated lower real rates, households which rely more on financial wealth must see large capital gains to afford the consumption that they planned before the decline...

This paper studies the optimal mortgage refinancing problem of a behavioral household who is present-biased and inattentive to mortgage rates. In solving the problem, I derive the first closed-form optimal refinancing rule of a behavioral household, enabling the estimation of the model. I...

Sparer mit niedrigen Vermögen leiden unter der Geldpolitik der EZB besonders stark, wird häufig kritisiert. Deshalb untersuchen die Autoren die realen Renditen, die deutsche und österreichische Haushalte verschiedener finanzieller Vermögensgruppen in Zeiten extrem niedriger Zinssätze...