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In this paper we estimate simple Taylor rules paying particular attention to interest rate smoothing. Following English, Nelson, and Sack (2002), we employ a model in first differences to gain some insights into the presence and signifcance of the degree of partial adjustment as opposed to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635982
We examine the degree and sources of disagreement between the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) staff about the appropriate policy rate for the period 1987-2011. For that purpose, we compute a counterfactual interest rate for the Fed's staff , based on its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011752222
The architecture of supervision - how we define the allocation of supervisory powers to different policy institutions - can have implications for policy conduct and for the economic and financial environment in which these policies are implemented. Theoretically, an integrated structure for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009232
Policymakers do not always follow a simple rule for setting policy rates for various reasons and thus their choices are co-driven by a decision to follow a rule or not. Consequently, some observations are censored and cause bias in conventional estimators of typical Taylor rules. To account for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604817
This paper performs a welfare analysis based on the hypothetical scenario that Denmark gave up its peg and started conducting monetary policy according to a Taylor rule. For this we rely on a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for a small open economy that was estimated on Danish data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320884
This paper evaluates under which conditions different Taylor-type rules lead to determinacy and expectational stability (E-stability) of rational expectations equilibrium in a simple "New Keynesian" small open economy model, developed by Gali and Monacelli (2005). In particular, we extend the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774580
intensiver ist. Die optimale Geldpolitik der Zentralbank der Währungsunion wird ermittelt und mit einer einfachen Taylor … auf die Wohlfahrt und die optimale Geldpolitik. Betrachtet werden zwei Möglichkeiten, wie die Wettbewerbsintensität am … die Geldpolitik effektiver sein, wenn die Länder größere Asymmetrien aufweisen. Diese Ergebnisse legen es nahe, dass die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431763
Assuming inflation is a forward variable in Taylor (1999) model, this paper finds opposite policy rule recommandations with counter-cyclical policy rule parameters (Taylor principle: inflation rule larger than one and bounded upwards) in the case of optimal policy under commitment versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451810
We investigate the source of the high persistence in the Federal Funds Rate relative to the predictions of simple Taylor rules. While much of the literature assumes that this reflects interest-smoothing on the part of monetary policy-makers, an alternative explanation is that it represents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131581
This paper examines the impact of different types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy, using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) approach. The results indicate that when examining the effects of oil price shocks, it is important to account for the interaction between the oil market and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081472