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This paper proposes an integrated framework to analyze jointly two key issues: the emergence of global imbalances and the precautionary motive for accumulating reserves. Standard models of general equilibrium would predict modest current account surpluses in the emerging markets if they face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775798
Rising current account and merchandise trade imbalances marked the years before the global financial and economic crisis. These imbalances either contributed to or precipitated the crisis and to the extent that they create systemic risks, it is desirable that they be reduced. There are many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098002
We propose a multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model to quantify the implications of trade and FDI liberalizations for the surge of global trade and current account (CA) imbalances. We calibrate our model to replicate the evolution of bilateral trade and FDI flows across 5 major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840844
Rising current account and merchandise trade imbalances marked the years before the global financial and economic crisis. These imbalances either contributed to or precipitated the crisis and to the extent that they create systemic risks, it is desirable that they be reduced. There are many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315818
In this paper the OECD’s interlink model is used to explore several possible channels through which a narrowing of the US current account deficit could occur. The shocks considered include dollar depreciation, fiscal consolidation, and an improvement in the non-price competitiveness of US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444349
.e. the United States and China, are of a relatively smaller magnitude. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that the share of … China in CEE trade has been dynamically expanding (especially in the years 2010-2013), whereas that of the US economy has … in China's share of global trade, in large part at the expense of the United States …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949485
We investigate the impact of the emergence of China as a global competitor on the trade performance of Central, Eastern … points against cut-throat competition between CESEE and China. The decomposition of export growth along the extensive versus … supplier related competitiveness effect. Both the CESEE region and China successfully intensified their trade linkages above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374343
competitive devaluations. The sheer size of China, and its lower sterilization costs suggests that China may be the winner of a … and precautionary motives in the context of China may be challenged by a version of the "peso problem"; Hoarding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003855040
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727410
The contemporary division of production in the global economy poses challenges typical for dependent market economies of the Visegrád countries (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia). This comparative study explores whether the foreign trade of V4 with Germany contributes to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013502201