We derive new tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts based on Rosenblatt probability integral transforms. These tests have the advantage that they i) do not depend on the ordering of variables in the forecasting model, ii) are applicable to densities of arbitrary...

The report “Eurasian Economic Integration – 2017” reflects the directions, events and decisions that determine the current vectors of integration processes in the Eurasian Economic Union. The authors offer fresh data and analytical insights with respect to: macroeconomic development;...

The authors turn to the large family of institutions that came into existence in post-Soviet Eurasia (and, in some ways, beyond it) over the last two decades. The researchers review their current state, agenda, real and perceived mandate, and their respective achievements and constraints. The...

The essay considers the question: what internal Cuban legal adjustments will be necessary for Cuba to enter into a fully normalized relationship with the U.S. and the rest of the world? That raises three distinct questions made necessary by the profound changes that have occurred between the...

This paper, written in honor of Ake Andersson, supports his view that we have now arrived at a time of logistical revolution, wherein information processing and communication capacity as well as the growth of the knowledge base are quintessential to the socioeconomic development of society. This...

This paper investigates the effects of economic integration among Taiwan, Hong Kong and China (CEA). A seven-region, seven-sector computable general equilibrium model for world production and trade is developed for this purpose. The simulation results demonstrate that the three Chinese economies...

The effects of past linkages on trade flows in the former Soviet Union (FSU) are studied using a gravity equation, estimated from trade flows among and between 9 Russian regions and 14 FSU republics from 1987 to 1996. We find that Russian regions traded 60% more with each other than with...

This paper analyzes competing interpretations for the large increases in the hoarding of international reserves by developing countries. While the first phase of the rapid hoarding of reserves in the aftermath of the East Asian crisis has been dominated by self insurance against exposure to...

This paper examines Latvia's foreign trade and investment relations with Germany and Russia during the interwar period and the period after the restoration of independence up to now. During the period between the two world wars Latvia's foreign trade was completely integrated into the European...

The ASEAN+3 finance ministers’ group has developed its economic review and policy dialogue (ERPD) process as part of regional financial cooperation efforts. Recently the group has decided to integrate the ERPD process with the regional liquidity support facility, called the Chiang Mai...