Much attention has been paid to the sharp fall in world trade associated with the economic crisis during the last … to globalisation and the fragmentation of supply chains, world trade will inevitably overshoot the shock in world GDP. We … replicate a very similar multiplier effect on world trade to that currently being experienced. Firstly, we find that, when trade …

international trade has either begun to decrease or is about to decrease due to changes in the structure of the world economy. This … 2014 to 2016, when world petroleum prices decreased the dollar value of international exports …

decoupling between the world's two largest economies. Results based on gravity model regressions with high-dimensional fixed … other hand, we find no evidence of an increased regionalisation of world trade since the shock of the COVID-19 pandemic or … the war in Ukraine. Therefore, our results suggest that near-shoring strategies did not have a large impact on world trade …