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Central to the global impacts of China's emergence has been its structural imbalance (its excess product supply and … to the advanced economies and particularly to the US, the more so if China's policy response is expansionary and includes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017884
The paper develops a model of proportionate growth to describe the dynamics of the network of international trade flows. We show that a large number of the empirical regularities characterizing international trade - such as the fraction of zero trade flows across pairs of countries, the positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143961
Economists have long debated whether the real exchange rate (RER) has a significant impact on export performance and output growth. Some claim that export performance depends only on nonprice competition and the RER is irrelevant to long-run growth, whereas others argue that the RER is a key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433725
While trade integration is often regarded as a principal determinant of economic growth, the empirical evidence for a causal linkage between trade and growth is ambiguous. This paper argues that the effect of trade in dynamic panel estimations depends crucially on the specification of trade....
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old joke goes, the rest of the world caught a cold. But that dominance is now being challenged by the rise of rapidly … outline the consequences of this evolving world economic order – in particular, how it is decoupling the business cycles of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101221
We construct a new database which covers production and trade in 136 primary commodities and 24 manufacturing and service sectors for 145 countries. Using this new more granular data, we estimate spillover effects from plausible trade fragmentation scenarios in a new multi-country, multi-sector,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358436