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This paper studies the impact of the state-dependent risk of a government default on the correlation of the scal balance and current account. We use a small open economy model where nonlinear risk premia arise endogenously when the government operates close to its scal limit, i.e. the maximum...
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Over recent years, several euro area countries have registered large and persistent net foreign liabilities. This paper examines the risks arising from these external stock imbalances, the prospects for their smooth unwinding and the menu of policy options. The paper demonstrates that external...
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spreads is about one fifth of the corresponding correlation for emerging market economies. In Eurozone countries, however, the … financial crisis amplified the relationship between spreads and debt levels within the Eurozone but had no effect on the … liabilities is larger in the Eurozone than in standalone advanced economies. The paper concludes that debt composition matters and …
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