Showing 1 - 10 of 13,101
Using parametric and non-parametric estimation techniques, we analyze the sustainability of the recently growing … current account imbalances in the euro area and test whether the European Monetary Union has aggravated these imbalances. Two … alternative criteria for the as-sessment of external debt sustainability are considered: One based on the Transversality Condition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616530
Ireland, as it highlights the overall importance of growth dynamics in determining the sustainability of post-default or post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112330
This paper studies the impact of the state-dependent risk of a government default on the correlation of the scal balance and current account. We use a small open economy model where nonlinear risk premia arise endogenously when the government operates close to its scal limit, i.e. the maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341080
The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has been developed by the IMF's Research Department as a successor to the CGER methodology for assessing current accounts and exchange rates in a multilaterally consistent manner. Compared to other approaches, EBA emphasizes distinguishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059857
sustainability approach á la Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (LM) versus the structural current accounts literature (SCA) based on panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826590
In this paper we study the intra-euro area imbalances based on a ynamic general equilibrium model. We show that … European financial integration and the introduction of the euro might have contributed to the development of imbalances …. Interest rate convergence following EMU accession led to net foreign debt positions, which prove difficult to reverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008004
After the recent crisis, a reduction was observed in global current account (flow imbalances). Still, global … disequilibria as measured in terms of countries' net foreign assets (stock imbalances), kept increasing. This paper studies whether … stock imbalances have a stabilizing or destabilizing impact on countries' accumulation of external wealth and why. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924891
We examine the determinants of external crises, focusing on the role of foreign liabilities and their composition. Using a variety of statistical tools and comprehensive data spanning 1970-2011, we find that the ratio of net foreign liabilities (NFL) to GDP is a significant crisis predictor, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080853
/early eighties and in the early nineties, raising the issue of whether these persistent imbalances are sustainable. This paper puts … forward a notion of current account sustainability and compares the experience of three Latin American countries … sustainability indicators and discusses their usefulness in predicting external crises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752388
The Pessimists and the Optimists disagree whether the US external deficits and the associated buildup of US net foreign liabilities are problems that require urgent attention. A warning signal should be that the debt ratio deviates significantly from the optimal ratio. The optimal debt ratio or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317398