This paper assesses India’s potential welfare gains from Regional Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) such as RCEP using a machine learning approach to examine the inherent structure of export and import pattern of India with member countries. These patterns reveal several interesting facts that...

While significant attention has been dedicated to sanctions episodes among major economies which usually rely on a diverse set of trade partners, little is known about the impact of sanctions imposed by senders on economies highly dependent on them. Using Ukrainian export data for 2009-2019 at...

Using the recent U.S.-China trade war as a laboratory, we show that policy uncertainty shocks have a significant impact on stock prices. This impact is less negative for firms that heavily rely on bank debt whereas non-bank debt does not have a mitigating effect. Moreover, the mitigating effect...

I develop an index for economic integration accounting for its gradual and bilateral nature: the Gradual And Bilateral Integration (GABI) index. The graduality captures differences in the depth and path of five stages in economic integration and is an improvement over the use of binary dummy...

This paper aims to quantify the potential effects of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) being negotiated between the EU and the U.S. on the economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). The BRICS is distinguished by its large, fast-growing economies...

This paper analyzes the effects of the current trade conflict on developing Asia using the Asian Development Bank's Multiregional Input–Output Table (MRIOT), allowing us to calculate the impact on individual countries and on sectors within countries. The analysis estimates the direct impact on...