Currency and financial turmoils in international capital markets have been the focus of an extensive theoretical research which started around 30 years ago. This paper provides a synthetic overview of this theoretical modeling. We analyze the basic analytical framework corresponding to the...

When available financial securities allow investors to optimally diversify risk across countries, standard theory implies that exchange rates should reflect this behavior. However, exchange rates observed in the data deviate from these predictions. In this paper, we develop a framework to value...

Using both quantity- and price-based measures of financial integration, this paper shows an increasing degree of financial openness and integration in emerging Asian markets. This paper also assesses the impact of a regional shock relative to a global shock on local equity and bond markets. The...

Unless there is a radical reform of the global financial system, it will continue to be conducive to financial crises and the necessary reforms are looking increasingly unlikely. Government rhetoric and actions can often influence in desirable ways both the speculative actions that now determine...

We investigate whether the classic Mundell-Flemming "trilemma" has morphed into a "dilemma" due to financial globalisation. According to the dilemma hypothesis, global financial cycles determine domestic financial conditions regardless of an economy's exchange rate regime and monetary policy...

We study the dynamic response of gross capital flows in emerging market economies to different global financial shocks, using a panel vector-autoregressive (PVAR) setting. Our focus lies primarily on the potentially stabilizing role played by domestic investors in offsetting the response of...

Has financial globalisation compromised central banks' ability to manage domestic financial conditions? This paper summarises the results from our recent research, which tackles this question from the bond market perspective for both advanced and emerging market economies. Using an asset pricing...

This paper shows correlations in GDP fluctuations rise with financial integration. Finance serves to increase international correlations in both consumption and GDP fluctuations, which explains the persistent gap between the two in the data, a quantity puzzle. The positive association between...

Fluctuations in GDP are more synchronized internationally than fluctuations in Consumption, and they remain so even between financially integrated economies, where the ranking should in theory be the reverse. This paper shows this happens because correlations in GDP fluctuations rise with...