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This paper employs multivariate GARCH models with a BEKK specification to show significant shock and volatility spillovers from mature bond markets into select emerging Asian local currency bond markets. Results reveal that while the growth of individual bond markets in recent years has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696941
In this note I argue that the desirability of fiscal policy in response to the current crisis depends on whether one views the current crisis as a temporary deviation from a unique equilibrium or as a bad equilibrium out of multiple equilibria. The paper presents a simple Diamond (1982) type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377838
In this note I argue that the desirability of fiscal policy in response to the current crisis depends on whether one views the current crisis as a temporary deviation from a unique equilibrium or as a bad equilibrium out of multiple equilibria. The paper presents a simple Diamond (1982) type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326063
This paper employs multivariate GARCH models with a BEKK specification to show significant shock and volatility spillovers from mature bond markets into select emerging Asian local currency bond markets. Results reveal that while the growth of individual bond markets in recent years has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507534
Political economy theory expects politicians to use budget deficits to engineer an election-timed boom, known as the political business cycle. We challenge and contextualize this view by incorporating the financial constraints faced by governments into an electoral framework. We argue that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006570
Why do governments borrow internationally, so much as to risk default? Why do they remain out of financial markets for a while after default? This paper develops a quantitative model of sovereign default with endogenous default costs to propose a novel and unified answer to these questions. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914399
This paper documents the theoretical structure and empirical properties of the latestversion of the Global Macrofinancial Model (GFM). This dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies,was developed to support multilaterally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918559
The Commission's annual Richard Snape Lecture was presented by Professor Yu Yongding from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (Beijing) on 25 November 2009 in Melbourne.In an address titled ‘China's Policy Responses to the Global Financial Crisis' Professor Yu described how the Chinese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143034
There were arguments and counter arguments with regard to the impact on Indian economy of the global financial meltdown. The paper examines the economic scenario in India. The belief that Indian economy was adequately insulated from such global development has been found to be only partially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149081
Policymakers in the EU member states are currently shaping rescue packages to prevent the financial crisis hitting their economies with unmitigated force. Each government is responding to the emerging problems with a country-specific set of measures. Given the global nature of the crisis, would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811803