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We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
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identified two groups of upper regime and lower regime world variables-namely, world inflation, world GDP, and world commodity … studied. This research aims to investigate the interdependent relationships between world GDP, world commodity prices, world … inflation, trade flows, capital inflow, capital account transactions, reserve accumulation, global liquidity (e.g., global broad …
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. Over the same period the volatility of inflation has declined in most countries. Many previous papers argue that financial … globalisation has led to improved policy-making and lower inflation. This paper makes the case that there could be causation running … in the other direction. We present theory and empirical evidence indicating that more stable inflation leads to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083474
We study the relation between US inflation and the performance of global asset classes (including bonds, stocks … recent 30 years (1991–2020). We find that most assets had positive average real returns in both low- and high-inflation years …. While average real returns were lower in years with higher inflation for most assets, many of the differences are not …
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