Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency, permit us to evaluate the chances of getting a particular result. Financial analysts are frequently challenged with the assignment of diversifying assets in order to form efficient...

As the economic disruptions associated with the COVID-19 pandemic increased in March 2020, there was a global dash-for-cash by investors. This selling pressure occurred across advanced sovereign bond markets and caused a deterioration in market functioning, leading to central bank interventions....

This paper investigates the COVID-19 outbreak, explains the policies adopted by governments, and examines the side effects of social distancing on the global economy and international finance. Causal loop diagrams are used to explain the interlinkages amongst the important variables and show the...

The outbreak of the pandemic of COVID-19 in the beginning of 2020 had a significant impact both to the real economy and to the financial markets which exhibited high volatility movements of unprecedented scale. In this study we employ an AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model with Student-t distributed standard...

This report discusses the overall instabilities inherent in the current global financial system in general, and the system's performance in reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic in particular. It explains why the financial crisis induced by the COVID-19 outbreak was not an unpredictable black swan...

Commodity (primarily oil) funds are facing today the most severe adverse shock of their history. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the crisis in oil-rich nations, already hit by low oil prices and declining hydrocarbon revenues. Governments of all stripes are tapping sovereign wealth and...