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We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
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This paper studies the international spillovers of US monetary policy shocks on a number of macroeconomic and financial variables in 36 advanced and emerging economies. In most countries, a surprise US monetary tightening leads to depreciation against the dollar; industrial production and real...
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data on monetary policy shock estimates for 29 economies obtained from more than 280 monetary models in the literature …. Consistent with the predictions from our hypothesis we find: Monetary policy shock estimates obtained from New Keynesian DSGE … contamination is more severe for economies that are more susceptible to financial spillovers in the data; and the shock estimates …
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We investigate how financial contracting interacts with lending channel effects by tracing the anatomy of a credit … supply shock using micro-level data from a multinational bank. Borrowers with stronger lending relationships, higher non …-lending revenues, and those that pledge collateral, especially outside assets and real estate, experience less credit rationing …
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