This paper examines the magnitude and duration of the GST effect on inflation in Australia’s eight capital cities using the Box and Tiao intervention analysis and quarterly data spanning from 1948:4 to 2003:1. We found that GST had a significant but transitory impact on inflation only in the...

In the aftermath of the Fukushima nuclear crisis, Japan began contemplating energy policy reforms that drew inspiration from low-carbon research. This article focuses on a question central to advancing low-carbon research in Japan and elsewhere: namely, how does an exogenous shock affect the...

Many analysts have claimed the record number of crop acres taken out of production in 1983 as a result of the Payment-in-Kind (PIK) program affected the already dechnmg sales offarm tractors The authors use intervention analysis, a particular form of a transfer function, to model and test for...

In this paper we model the monthly number of passengers flying with the Spanish airline IBERIA from January 1985 to December 1992 and predict future values of the series up to October 1994. This series is characterized by strong seasonal variations and by having an upward trend which has a...

An important tool in time series analysis is that of combining information in an optimal manner. Here we establish a basic combining rule of linear estimators and exemplify its use with several different problems faced by a time series analyst. A compatibility test statistic is also provided as...

Sales forecasting is becoming increasingly complex, due to a range of factors, such as the shortening of product life cycles, increasingly competitive markets, and aggressive marketing. Often, forecasts are produced using a Forecasting Support System that integrates univariate statistical...

1 Introduction -- 2 The Application Field of CIB -- 3 Foundations of CIB -- 4 Analyzing Scenario Portfolios -- 5 What if… Challenges in CIB practice -- 6 Data in CIB -- 7 CIB at Work -- 8 Reflections on CIB.