We examine information aggregation and capital accumulation when there is structural uncertainty regarding capital productivity at the industry-level and information is revealed strategically through bilateral contracting. Firms enter sequentially and uninformed investors design sequentially...

A model of endogenous investment booms and busts with rational agents is presented where outside investors are uncertain about both industry (aggregate) and firm-specific capital productivity, and insiders manipulate information through strategic productivity disclosures. For intermediate and...

We study the performance of investments made at different points of an investment cycle. We use a large data set covering hotels in the U.S., with rich details on their location, characteristics and performance. We find that hotels built during hotel construction booms underperform their peers....

We study the dynamic implications of capital investment in innovative capacity (IC) on future stock returns, investment, and profitability by modeling the unique effects of IC investment on uncertain option generation/exercise and post-exercise revenue. The model highlights the diverse effects...

How do firms vary their capital investment and financing policies in response to business cycle fluctuations within their industry? To address this question, we use the regime-switching approach to compute the quarterly time-series of the probability of a future industry downturn for industry...

We study the feasibility and optimal design of pre-sale crowdfunding contracts where participating consumers pay a premium above the future expected spot price and financially constrained entrepreneurs balance the potential product-market distortions introduced through pre-sale crowdfunding...

Using a dynamic model of strategic bargaining between equity and debt holders following default, we analyze the impact of shareholder bargaining power on the investment effects of debt overhang. Our empirical tests utilize a new measure of debt overhang wedge based on default probabilities...