economic emergencies. This paper aims to forecast the short to medium-term incidence of COVID-19 epidemic through the medium of … an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, applied to Italy, Russia, and the USA The analysis is ….worldometers.info/coronavirus/). The best ARIMA models were Italy (4,2,4), Russia (1,2,1), and the USA (6,2,3). The results showed that: i) ARIMA models …

derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy … in France and Germany; as far as Italy is concerned, forecasts are produced using a model that in the recent past proved … business surveys data and to aggregate the nation-wide forecast into the Euro-zone forecast, we propose using an approach based …