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This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
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equilibrium policy is smaller, because their bargaining power is reduced compared to a single ballot election. The predictions on …
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Pre-election polls sometimes fail to reach the purpose for which they are carried out: to provide accurate predictions … different factors play in determining the accuracy of the pre-election polls. We find strong evidence that the quality of the …
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