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investigates to what extent this process affects output growth and inflation in the advanced countries. A GVAR model is specified … multipliers are also reduced by a sizeable effect on inflation, as Chinese firms participate in international production chains …
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Deflation has emerged as a new concern for Asian policy makers. The traditional view is that deflation can lead to a vicious cycle of falling demand and prices, and is thus a dangerous condition. However, another school of thought emphasizes the role of positive supply shocks and takes a more...
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This paper surveys the recent literature on inflation forecasting and conducts an extensive empirical analysis on … forecasting inflation in Singapore, Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong paying particular attention to whether the inflation …-markup theory can help to forecast inflation. We first review the relative performance of different predictors in forecasting h …
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