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Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeiten von Rezessionsphasen, Phasen niedrigen Wachstums sowie Boomphasen für die USA und Japan. Zuerst werden diese drei …
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In this paper, we investigate the dynamic link between recessions and stock market liquidity by examining the predictive content of illiquidity for US recessions. After controlling for other commonly featured recession predictors such as term spreads and credit spreads, we find that the...
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