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A growing body of literature suggests that investor sentiment affects stock prices both at the firm level and at the market level. This study examines the relationship between investor behavior and stock returns focusing on Japanese margin transactions using weekly data from 1994 to 2003. Margin...
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Our ability to forecast degrades rapidly the further out we predict. Even if we do manage to accurately forecast an … forecast the event, its magnitude and consequences, our timing is invariably off - sometimes by many years. Yet we still seek … the advice of economists, technicians and academics, knowing full well their documented inability to forecast with greater …
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