We compute a sunspot equilibrium in an estimated small-scale New Keynesian model with a zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on nominal interest rates and a full set of stochastic fundamental shocks. In this equilibrium a sunspot shock can move the economy from a regime in which inflation is close...

In this paper, the authors develop a new tool to improve the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in the euro area and Japan. This new tool, which uses unrestricted mixed-data sampling (U-MIDAS) regressions, allows an evaluation of the usefulness of a wide range of indicators in predicting...

This paper studies dynamic relation, namely, two currencies of Korean won and Japanese yen, before and after the East Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s. We conjecture that there exists a long-run relation between won and yen, which is characterized by a band-reverting-type dynamic...

This paper estimates output gaps for Hong Kong, Korea, the Philippines, Singapore and Taiwan, employing the HP filter and unobservable-components (UC) techniques. The latter approach assumes that actual output is the sum of potential output, which follows a random walk with a time-varying drift,...

We propose and solve a small-scale New-Keynesian model with Markov sunspot shocks that move the economy between a targeted-inflation regime and a deflation regime and fit it to data from the U.S. and Japan. For the U.S. we find that adverse demand shocks have moved the economy to the zero lower...

This articles emphasizes the important role of human capital, manufacturing and imports to increase real income per inhabitant and non-agrarian employment. Some researchers specialized in economic growth analyse the export-led growth in many countries and insist upon the importance of openness...

This study presents a comprehensive analysis and comparison of material and energy efficiency performances and their rebound effects, providing insights into their implications for sustainability and climate change policies. Using Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA), we examine material and...

This study presents a comprehensive analysis and comparison of material and energy efficiency performances and their rebound effects, providing insights into their implications for sustainability and climate change policies. Using Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA), we examine material and...