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This paper investigates how order flows drive dynamic co-movements of exchange rates. We allow for asymmetric correlation responses to positive/negative shocks, control for structural breaks, bid-ask spreads and volatility effect of order flows, employ alternative order flow measures, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966407
We built the largest dataset of high-frequency exchange rates so far. Our sample covers the spot prices and order flows of 19 currency pairs over the last 15 years measured on Reuters and EBS at the thirty-second frequency. We show that common, price-based factors describe exchange rate dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018659
This paper argues that the stability of exchange rate pass-through is not well tested in common econometric specifications of pass-through equations. This is because (a) expected future exchange rate changes are an importnt omitted variable in these estimations, and (b) the use of aggregate data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779455
It has been suggested that recent findings of a decline in aggregate exchange rate pass-through are due to changes in demand elasticities within the U.S., or to changes in competitive (supply) conditions in for those imports. An alternate explanation is that the commodity composition of U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755464
In this paper, we estimate the exchange rate exposure, indicating the effect of exchange rate movements on firm values, for a sample of 1,400 firms in seven East Asian countries. The exposure estimates based on various exchange rate variables, return horizons and a control variable are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011765037
This is a comparative study on the historical experience of real effective exchange rate (REER) misalignment of Japanese yen, Deutsche mark, Singapore dollar and Taiwan dollar, with regard to the recent dispute over the Renminbi (RMB) valuation. Panel-based misalignment estimates of the four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003990427
In this paper, we investigate the impact of vertical product differentiation on exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). We define product vertical differentiation as a spectrum of products that range from high end to low end. Using a comprehensive dataset that includes highly disaggregated products...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022085
We examine the evolution and the magnitude of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to Japanese prices. We employ the Time-Varying-Parameters Factor-Augmented Vector au-toregression model (TVP-FAVAR), which enables us to include a large enough panel of data to better control for variables impacting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997312
significantly outperforms a random walk, the fiscal models do appear to outperform monetary models in out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116846
Using monthly data from 1986 to 2009 for 11 major currencies against the U.S. dollar (USD), we find that interest rate differentials between nine of these currencies are generally positive (sample mean of 0.86%) but are strongly negative for Japan (mean of -2.78%) and for Switzerland (mean of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087769