This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...

Japanese candlestick has been widely used in investment practice, however its predicting power has not yet been scrutinized in academic literature. This paper investigates the forecasting power of Japanese candlestick augumented by Halloween effect in stock returns. Empirical studies performed...