pt. 1. Two models of expansion without borders : the European Mediterraneans -- pt. 2. Early outlines of an Asian Mediterranean : the predominance of tributary trade -- pt. 3. The overlapping of Western and Asian trading networks -- pt. 4. The arena of re-globalisation : the second birth of the...

We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely-used probit approach, but the dynamics of regressors are endogenized using a VAR. The combined model is called a 'ProbVAR'. At any point in time, the ProbVAR allows to generate...

In this study, we examined the differences between smoking and drinking in regard to their associations with socioeconomic factors among about 7,000 Japanese workers. Using microdata from nationwide surveys in Japan, we estimated bivariate probit models to jointly explore how smoking and...