Although financial literature presents ambiguous evidence about the predicting value of fundamental and technical variables in stock markets, we find that evolving trading models based on fundamental variables substantially reduce the risk of investing in stocks. This reduction is so generous...

This paper presents a novel approach to asset class allocation which builds upon macroeconomic factors. Without doubt the financial returns of asset classes are interlinked with the economy. However, it is not clear how to bring the finance and economy world together within a portfolio's asset...

The aim of this paper is to determine whether forward-looking option-implied returns forecasts lead to better out-of-sample portfolio performance than conventional time series models. We consider a simple two-asset setting with a risk-free asset and the S&P 500 index the risky asset with monthly...

Anomaly-based investment/pricing factors are typically built from portfolios double-sorted on size and one additional characteristic, applying simple long/short fixed-weights schemes. Characteristic-based portfolios show significant time variations of their abnormal returns and market exposures....

In this paper, we construct a pipeline to investigate heuristic diversification strategies in asset allocation. We use machine learning concepts ("explainable AI") to compare the robustness of different strategies and back out implicit rules for decision making.In a first step, we augment the...

Many corporations and financial institutions have recently faced lawsuits in which plaintiffs have alleged harm to 401(k) plan participants by the inclusion of high-fee actively managed mutual funds in plan offerings, instead of low-cost index funds. The goal of our study is to compare the...

This study proposes a method to enhance cryptocurrency portfolio returns constructed by forecast models. We forecast returns on four liquid cryptocurrencies and determine the weights on the cryptocurrencies based upon a dynamic allocation framework. We assess the performances of the portfolios...

This study is the first to consider ``Reuters Global Asset Allocation Poll'' data, which is a monthly survey of recommended global portfolio allocations from many of the world's top investment firms, based in the U.S., UK, Continental Europe, and Japan. We find that balanced portfolio...

This paper highlights the use of a new strategic approach within a quantitative investment methodology in the context of making prudent asset allocation decisions. Three asset classes will frame the dynamic asset allocation discussion: Equities, Fixed Income, and Hedge Funds. The quantitative...

Accumulated imbalances in the economy and on the markets cause specific financial market dynamics that have formed characteristic patterns kept throughout long financial history. In 2008 Authors presented their expectations of key macroeconomic and selected asset class markets developments for...