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This paper studies the impact of international capital flows on asset prices through risk premia. We investigate whether foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury securities significantly contributed to the decline in excess returns on long-term bonds between 1995 and 2008. We run forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981333
We study empirically the relation between currency excess returns and macro uncertainty, measured as forecast dispersion, on a wide set of economic indicators. We find that investment currencies deliver low returns whereas funding currencies offer a hedge when current account uncertainty is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902226
We investigate whether foreign purchases of long-term U.S. Treasury securities significantly affect their expected excess-returns. We run predictive regressions of realized excess returns on measures of net purchases of treasuries by both foreign official and private agents. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857491
This working paper is written by Pasquale Della Corte (Imperial College London) and Aleksejs Krecetovs (Imperial College London).We empirically study the relationship between currency excess returns and current account uncertainty, measured as forecast dispersion. We find that investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255022
In this paper, I examine the heterogeneous exposure of USD-denomination bonds (dollar bonds) to exchange rate risks. An appreciation of the US dollar increases the credit spread differential, referred to as the Foreign Discount, between dollar bonds issued by non-US and US firms. I provide both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257383
The purpose of this study is to assess the diversification benefits resulting from international asset allocation. In this study, we examine Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in its international context (ICAPM) using the monthly equity returns for 26 countries (18 developed and 8 emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770247
This paper presents an extension of the Capital Assets Pricing Model (hereafter CAPM) where various utility functions are applied. Specifically, we propose an overall CAPM beta that accounts for the higher order moments and reflects the investor preferences and attitudes toward risk. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882295
This paper evaluates the challenges facing developing countries when there is uncertainty about the policy maker type. We consider a country characterized by volatile output, inelastic demand for fiscal outlays, high tax collection costs, and sovereign risk, where future output depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285346
. -- Credibility ; international reserves ; external debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003855396
This paper evaluates the challenges facing developing countries when there is uncertainty about the policy maker type. We consider a country characterized by volatile output, inelastic demand for fiscal outlays, high tax collection costs, and sovereign risk, where future output depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213908