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Bond risk premia forecasting : a simple approach for extracting macroeconomic information from a panel of indicators
Audrino, Francesco; Corsi, Fulvio; Filipova, Kameliya - In: Econometric reviews 35 (2016) 1/4, pp. 232-256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549916
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Predictive ability of three different estimates of "cay" to excess stock returns : a comparative study for South Africa and USA
Emara, Noha - In: European research studies : an international … 17 (2014) 1, pp. 3-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383243
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Forecasting the density of asset returns
Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel; Perote, Javier - 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002458714
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Detrending Persistent Predictors for Forecasting Stock Returns
Boucher, Christophe - 2011
Researchers in finance very often rely on highly persistent – nearly integrated – explanatory variables to predict returns. However, statistical inference in predictive regressions depends critically upon the stochastic properties of the posited explanatory variable, and in particular, of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125373
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On Long Memory Behaviour and Predictability of Financial Markets
Vo, Long - 2017
An immediate consequence of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is the absence of auto-correlation of the return series of the financial prices and the exclusion of excess profitability made by any (active) trading strategy. However, the precondition for the validity of EMH, which assumes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956295
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The One-Trading-Day-Ahead Forecast Errors of Intra-Day Realized Volatility
Degiannakis, Stavros Antonios - 2018
Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day ahead forecast error and its … standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility … forecasting accuracy. Additionally, we explore the forecasting accuracy based on the squared distance of the forecast error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910114
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Augmented factor models with applications to validating market risk factors and forecasting bond risk premia
Fan, Jianqing; Ke, Yuan; Liao, Yuan - In: Journal of econometrics 222 (2021) 1,2, pp. 269-294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619418
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Nonlinearity in forecasting of high-frequency stock returns
Reboredo, Juan Carlos; Matías, José M.; … - In: Computational economics 40 (2012) 3, pp. 245-264
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010219501
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Predictability of bull and bear markets : a new look at forecasting stock market regimes (and returns) in the US
Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021
-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the dynamics in the S&P 500. First, we aggregate the weekly information of 115 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
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A novel cluster HAR-type model for forecasting realized volatility
Yao, Xingzhi; Izzeldin, Marwan; Li, Zhenxiong - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 4, pp. 1318-1331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305326