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We propose direct multiple time series models for predicting high dimensional vectors of observable realized global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) weights computed based on high-frequency intraday returns. We apply Lasso regression techniques, develop a class of multiple AR(FI)MA models for...
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effectively incorporate persistent homology (PH) into neural network models to increase their forecast accuracy in predicting …), NBEATSx-VP demonstrates a minimum 9% improvement in forecast precision compared to benchmark models. Considering Quasi …
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effectively incorporate persistent homology (PH) into neural network models to increase their forecast accuracy in predicting …), NBEATSx-VP demonstrates a minimum 9% improvement in forecast precision compared to benchmark models. Considering Quasi …
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We evaluate the performance of several linear and nonlinear machine learning (ML) models in forecasting the realized volatility (RV) of ten global stock market indices in the period from January 2000 to December 2021. We train models using a dataset that includes past values of the RV and...
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and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic … volatility forecast, coupled with a parametric lognormal-normal mixture distribution implied by the theoretically and empirically …
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