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investment returns which accompanies their career and retirement. The vulnerability reaches its peak at the retirement date, as … this is the point in which a return to employment becomes increasingly difficult and a post-retirement market drop can be … outcomes depend disproportionately on the shorter sequence of returns just before and after the retirement date …
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Simulations of a model pension scheme are run with stochastic economic and demographic factors, with an aim to investigate the impact of these factors on movements in funding ratio and average contribution rates. These impacts are analyzed by running regressions of movements in funding ratio and...
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Contrary to public perception, this article finds Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS), the largest defined benefit pension in UK, is more likely to be in surplus rather than deficit. Evidence is provided to show that neither low gilt yields nor high valuations imply low future returns on...
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