In emerging markets, unexpected public expenditure reductions increase firm-level investment, which quickly surpasses pre-shock levels after a temporary contraction, owing to a decline in financing costs. Investment’s recovery is facilitated by fiscal space, exchange rate flexibility, and...

We study the response of corporate investment in Emerging Markets to unexpected fiscal shocks. We find that, although firm-level investment decreases on impact following unexpected public expenditure adjustments (classical Keynesian multiplier effect), it quickly rises above pre-shock levels....