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risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as verified by a bootstrap approach. We present an alternative …
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Using survey data on expectations of future stock returns, we recursively estimate the degree of extrapolative weighting in investors' beliefs (DOX). In an extrapolation framework, DOX determines the relative weight investors place on recent-versus-distant past returns. DOX varies considerably...
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risk-based solution of the forward premium bias puzzle …
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heuristic bias and conservatism bias. Previous studies found that the two cognitive biases cause investors to misreact to past …
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